Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.001429 0.001599 0.001772 0.001959 0.002155 0.002355 0.002573
2024-12-29 0.001169 0.001413 0.001669 0.001956 0.002265 0.002586 0.002945
2025-01-05 0.000976 0.001275 0.001599 0.001971 0.002383 0.002820 0.003316
2025-01-12 0.000831 0.001173 0.001556 0.002007 0.002517 0.003067 0.003700
2025-01-19 0.000654 0.001015 0.001437 0.001948 0.002538 0.003185 0.003940
2025-01-26 0.000529 0.000907 0.001364 0.001933 0.002602 0.003347 0.004226
2025-02-02 0.000425 0.000810 0.001297 0.001918 0.002661 0.003500 0.004498
2025-02-09 0.000380 0.000788 0.001316 0.002004 0.002836 0.003784 0.004919
2025-02-16 0.000311 0.000721 0.001274 0.002010 0.002914 0.003954 0.005209
2025-02-23 0.000225 0.000616 0.001174 0.001938 0.002894 0.004006 0.005361
2025-03-02 0.000157 0.000527 0.001087 0.001875 0.002879 0.004061 0.005513
2025-03-09 0.000106 0.000453 0.001013 0.001825 0.002876 0.004127 0.005676
2025-03-16 0.000058 0.000374 0.000940 0.001792 0.002921 0.004281 0.005980
2025-03-23 0.000030 0.000325 0.000907 0.001814 0.003036 0.004525 0.006397
2025-03-30 0.000013 0.000285 0.000883 0.001847 0.003166 0.004788 0.006841
2025-04-06 0.000004 0.000254 0.000870 0.001894 0.003315 0.005077 0.007318
2025-04-13 NaN 0.000194 0.000794 0.001844 0.003334 0.005204 0.007602
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000154 0.000749 0.001835 0.003405 0.005394 0.007961
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000120 0.000705 0.001824 0.003471 0.005577 0.008310
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000113 0.000723 0.001910 0.003670 0.005929 0.008867
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000090 0.000694 0.001918 0.003760 0.006141 0.009252
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000056 0.000621 0.001849 0.003738 0.006209 0.009458
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000031 0.000558 0.001789 0.003725 0.006284 0.009672